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Stefon Diggs Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Baltimore Ravens vs New England Patriots

Stefon Diggs Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +135 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Patriots are underdogs in this game, implying more of a reliance on throwing than their usual approach.

Right now, the 5th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (64.1% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the New England Patriots.

Opposing teams have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in football.

When talking about pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the New England Patriots grades out as the 8th-best in football this year.

Stefon Diggs's 83.2% Adjusted Completion% this season signifies a significant growth in his receiving proficiency over last season's 73.7% mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Patriots to run the 5th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Stefon Diggs's 45.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been significantly lower this season than it was last season at 53.8.

Stefon Diggs's 4.2 adjusted receptions per game this season illustrates a significant drop-off in his pass-catching skills over last season's 5.7 mark.

The Ravens safeties project as the best collection of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.

More Stefon Diggs Player Props

Stefon Diggs ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 16

Baltimore Ravens vs New England Patriots

Stefon Diggs Receptions
Player Prop Week 16