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Stefon Diggs Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

New England Patriots vs New York Giants

Stefon Diggs Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-105/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -101 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Giants defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, causing opposing QBs to attempt the 10th-most passes in the league (35.5 per game) this year.

The model projects Stefon Diggs to garner 6.5 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 75th percentile among WRs.

When talking about pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Patriots profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL this year.

Stefon Diggs's possession skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 73.7% to 83.0%.

The New York Giants safeties rank as the worst group of safeties in football this year in covering receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 7-point advantage, the Patriots are heavily favored in this week's game, implying much more of a focus on running than their standard approach.

The projections expect the Patriots to be the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 53.4% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Patriots are expected by the predictive model to call just 62.8 offensive plays in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.

Stefon Diggs's 69.2% Route Participation Rate this season represents a substantial drop-off in his passing attack workload over last season's 83.6% figure.

Stefon Diggs's 4.7 adjusted catches per game this season represents a remarkable regression in his receiving prowess over last season's 5.7 mark.

More Stefon Diggs Player Props

Stefon Diggs ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 13

New England Patriots vs New York Giants

Stefon Diggs Receptions
Player Prop Week 13