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Stefon Diggs Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

New England Patriots vs New York Giants

Stefon Diggs Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-110/-121).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +104 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects Stefon Diggs to garner 6.4 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 77th percentile among WRs.

When talking about pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Patriots profiles as the 8th-best in the NFL this year.

With a fantastic 5.0 adjusted receptions per game (93rd percentile) this year, Stefon Diggs rates among the best pass-catching WRs in the NFL.

Stefon Diggs's possession skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 73.7% to 83.7%.

The New York Giants cornerbacks project as the 4th-worst unit in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 7.5-point advantage, the Patriots are heavily favored in this week's game, implying much more of a focus on running than their standard approach.

The projections expect the Patriots to be the 5th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 53.0% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to have only 125.3 offensive plays run: the 2nd-fewest on the slate this week.

Stefon Diggs's 70.7% Route Participation Rate this season represents a substantial drop-off in his passing attack workload over last season's 83.6% figure.

More Stefon Diggs Player Props

Stefon Diggs ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 13

New England Patriots vs New York Giants

Stefon Diggs Receptions
Player Prop Week 13