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Stefon Diggs Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 22

New England Patriots vs Seattle Seahawks

Stefon Diggs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 41.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 44.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 41.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Patriots are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.

Right now, the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense in the league (65.0% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Patriots.

Opposing QBs have averaged 32.3 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.

This week, Stefon Diggs is expected by the predictive model to rank in the 90th percentile among wideouts with 7.4 targets.

The New England offensive line ranks as the 5th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong influence on all passing game stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Patriots to call the fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.8 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the New England Patriots this year (just 47.2 per game on average).

Stefon Diggs has totaled far fewer air yards this season (48.0 per game) than he did last season (64.0 per game).

Stefon Diggs's 44.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit lower this year than it was last year at 53.8.

Stefon Diggs's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season shows a material decrease in his effectiveness in space over last season's 3.9% rate.

More Stefon Diggs Player Props

Stefon Diggs Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 22

New England Patriots vs Seattle Seahawks

Stefon Diggs Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 22