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Stefon Diggs

Stefon Diggs Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

New York Jets vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Stefon Diggs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 67.5 (-120/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 56.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 67.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may drop.
  • Our trusted projections expect Stefon Diggs to garner 7.4 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 84th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
  • The New England O-line ranks as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all air attack metrics across the board.
  • With a remarkable 54.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (89th percentile) this year, Stefon Diggs rates among the best WRs in the league in the NFL.
  • Stefon Diggs's sure-handedness have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate rising from 73.7% to 84.1%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Patriots, who are a massive favorite by 13 points.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to pass on 53.3% of their opportunities: the 6th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 3rd-fewest plays run on the slate this week at 126.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Stefon Diggs has compiled significantly fewer air yards this year (53.0 per game) than he did last year (64.0 per game).
  • Stefon Diggs's 45.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been significantly lower this season than it was last season at 53.8.

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