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Stefon Diggs Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Baltimore Ravens vs New England Patriots

Stefon Diggs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 41.5 (-113/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 41.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 41.5 @ -111.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Patriots are underdogs in this game, implying more of a reliance on throwing than their usual approach.

Right now, the 5th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (64.0% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the New England Patriots.

Opposing teams have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in football.

When talking about pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the New England Patriots grades out as the 8th-best in football this year.

Stefon Diggs's 83.2% Adjusted Completion% this season signifies a significant growth in his receiving proficiency over last season's 73.7% mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Patriots to run the 4th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.9 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Stefon Diggs has accrued quite a few less air yards this season (50.0 per game) than he did last season (64.0 per game).

Stefon Diggs's 45.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been significantly lower this season than it was last season at 53.8.

Stefon Diggs has notched a lot fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (49.0) this year than he did last year (60.0).

Stefon Diggs's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year illustrates a remarkable decline in his effectiveness in the open field over last year's 3.9% mark.

More Stefon Diggs Player Props

Stefon Diggs Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 16

Baltimore Ravens vs New England Patriots

Stefon Diggs Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16