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Stefon Diggs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (-113/+110).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 47.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 50.5 @ -113.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Giants defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, causing opposing QBs to attempt the 10th-most passes in the league (35.5 per game) this year.The model projects Stefon Diggs to garner 6.5 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 75th percentile among WRs.When talking about pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Patriots profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL this year.Stefon Diggs checks in as one of the leading wide receivers in the league this year, averaging a terrific 56.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 86th percentile.Stefon Diggs's possession skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 73.7% to 83.0%.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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With a 7-point advantage, the Patriots are heavily favored in this week's game, implying much more of a focus on running than their standard approach.The projections expect the Patriots to be the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 53.4% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Patriots are expected by the predictive model to call just 62.8 offensive plays in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.Stefon Diggs's 69.2% Route Participation Rate this season represents a substantial drop-off in his passing attack workload over last season's 83.6% figure.After accumulating 64.0 air yards per game last season, Stefon Diggs has been a disappointment this season, currently averaging 56.0 per game.
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