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Stefon Diggs Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

New England Patriots vs New York Jets

Stefon Diggs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 57.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 53.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 57.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In this game, Stefon Diggs is forecasted by the predictive model to land in the 81st percentile among wide receivers with 7.1 targets.

The Patriots O-line profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.

With a remarkable 55.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (86th percentile) this year, Stefon Diggs ranks as one of the best WRs in the league in football.

Stefon Diggs's 84.0% Adjusted Catch Rate this year reflects a remarkable boost in his receiving prowess over last year's 73.7% mark.

Stefon Diggs's 10.1 adjusted yards per target this year represents a significant boost in his pass-catching talent over last year's 7.8 rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Patriots being a huge 12.5-point favorite this week.

The projections expect the New England Patriots to be the 2nd-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 51.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Right now, the 4th-most sluggish paced offense in football (adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Patriots.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Jets, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 31.6 per game) this year.

Stefon Diggs's 68.9% Route% this season shows a substantial reduction in his passing attack usage over last season's 83.6% rate.

More Stefon Diggs Player Props

Stefon Diggs Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 11

New England Patriots vs New York Jets

Stefon Diggs Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11