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Stefon Diggs Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New England Patriots

Stefon Diggs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 57.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 56.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 57.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 6th-most pass-focused team in football (63.0% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Patriots.

In this game, Stefon Diggs is expected by the predictive model to slot into the 80th percentile when it comes to WRs with 7.2 targets.

When talking about pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Patriots ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL this year.

Stefon Diggs's 85.5% Adjusted Completion% this year marks a substantial boost in his receiving talent over last year's 73.7% figure.

Stefon Diggs's pass-catching effectiveness has improved this season, totaling 10.28 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a mere 7.78 figure last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Patriots to run the 6th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Stefon Diggs's 68.1% Route Participation% this year indicates a meaningful decrease in his air attack volume over last year's 83.6% figure.

After totaling 64.0 air yards per game last year, Stefon Diggs has seen a big decrease this year, currently averaging 50.0 per game.

Stefon Diggs's 50.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season marks an impressive regression in his receiving skills over last season's 60.0 rate.

Stefon Diggs's ability to grind out extra yardage has diminished this year, averaging a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 3.89 figure last year.

More Stefon Diggs Player Props

Stefon Diggs Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 10

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New England Patriots

Stefon Diggs Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10