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Skyy Moore Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1800/-3900).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -2100 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -3900.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The 49ers may lean on the pass less in this week's contest (and hand the ball off more) because they be starting backup quarterback Mac Jones.At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the 49ers are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of a reliance on passing than their standard approach.The model projects the 49ers as the 5th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 61.1% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the San Francisco 49ers are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 66.1 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week.The 49ers have run the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a massive 64.2 plays per game.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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At the moment, the 10th-most run-heavy team in football in the red zone (45.4% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the 49ers.Skyy Moore has been not been very involved his team's passing attack near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of just 0.0% this year, which puts him in the 1st percentile when it comes to wide receivers.When it comes to air yards, Skyy Moore grades out in the measly 14th percentile among wideouts this year, averaging just 4.0 per game.Skyy Moore's 2.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive usage) puts him in the company of the worst in football: 6th percentile for WRs.The receiving TD line reads "0" on Skyy Moore's player page this year.
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