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Skyy Moore

Skyy Moore Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17

San Francisco 49ers vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Skyy Moore Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1900/-2200).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -5000 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -2200.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • After averaging 2.0 air yards per game last season, Skyy Moore has undergone big improvement this season, now boasting 9.0 per game.
  • This year, the weak Chicago Bears defense has conceded a colossal 74.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 2nd-largest rate in the league.
  • This year, the poor Bears defense has allowed a colossal 1.27 receiving touchdowns per game to opposing wide receivers: the largest rate in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 49ers are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • Right now, the 8th-slowest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the 49ers.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.8 pass attempts per game against the Bears defense this year: 10th-fewest in the league.
  • Skyy Moore has been not been very involved his team's offense near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of just 0.0% this year, which places him in the 1st percentile among wide receivers.
  • Skyy Moore has been in just the 10th percentile when it comes to WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive usage) with a poor 5.2 figure this year.

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