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Skylar Thompson

Skylar Thompson Carries
Player Prop Week 3

Seattle Seahawks vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Skylar Thompson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+108/-139).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 45.4% rate of rushing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 7th-most run-centric offense in the league has been the Miami Dolphins.
  • The leading projections forecast the Miami Dolphins to call the 6th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.0 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • While Skylar Thompson has received 0.0% of his team's carries in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a more integral piece of Miami's rushing attack in this week's game at 10.0%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Dolphins will be rolling with backup quarterback Skylar Thompson in this week's game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • The 8th-smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Miami Dolphins since the start of last season (just 56.5 per game on average).
  • Miami's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially deflated (and rushing stats inflated) in light of playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the NFL. We should be able to count on some correction with improved conditions in this week's contest.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being forecasted in this game) usually lead to better passing efficiency, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and reduced ground volume.
  • The Seattle Seahawks defensive ends grade out as the best DE corps in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to run defense.

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