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Simi Fehoko

Simi Fehoko Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Simi Fehoko Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • While Simi Fehoko has garnered 5.9% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be much more involved in Los Angeles's passing offense in this game at 11.7%.
  • The Cardinals pass defense has surrendered the highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (74.3%) versus wideouts this year (74.3%).
  • The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has exhibited weak efficiency vs. wideouts this year, surrendering 9.03 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-most in the league.
  • When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, Arizona's group of LBs has been terrible this year, ranking as the worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Los Angeles Chargers to pass on 54.9% of their plays: the 4th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see just 124.0 total plays run: the lowest number out of all the games this week.
  • The Chargers have called the 5th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling just 54.4 plays per game.
  • Opposing teams teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the Cardinals, averaging the fewest attempts in football (a mere 29.2 per game) this year.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers offensive line profiles as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative influence on all pass game stats across the board.

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