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Shedeur Sanders

Shedeur Sanders Completions
Player Prop Week 16

Cleveland Browns vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Shedeur Sanders Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-122/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ +104 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -104.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -10.5-point disadvantage, the Browns are giant underdogs in this game, indicating much more of a reliance on passing than their usual approach.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by the model to see 130.4 offensive plays run: the 5th-highest number among all games this week.
  • As it relates to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Buffalo's collection of CBs has been terrible this year, projecting as the 9th-worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Right now, the 10th-least pass-centric offense in the league (58.8% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Browns.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 29.1 pass attempts per game versus the Buffalo Bills defense this year: 2nd-fewest in football.
  • In regards to pocket protection (and the effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Cleveland Browns grades out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year.
  • Opposing teams have completed passes at the 6th-lowest rate in the NFL vs. the Bills defense this year (66.3% Adjusted Completion%).

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