Sean Tucker Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Sean Tucker

NFL · Player Props

Sean Tucker

RB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Touchdowns

New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 8, 2025

Updated Oct 26, 2025 8:07 PM UTC

Analysis

Sean Tucker Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+590/-640).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -680 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -640.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the present time, the 9th-most pass-centric team in football near the goal line (59.2% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is expected by the projections to see 134.1 offensive plays run: the 2nd-highest number among all games this week.
The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.
This year, the weak Saints pass defense has been torched for a massive 87.7% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing RBs: the 7th-largest rate in the league.
This year, the anemic Saints defense has allowed a colossal 0.29 receiving touchdowns per game to opposing RBs: the 7th-largest rate in football.

Favors Under

The Buccaneers are a 3.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
Opposing QBs have averaged 29.4 pass attempts per game against the Saints defense this year: 7th-fewest in the league.
The New Orleans Saints defensive tackles profile as the worst DT corps in football this year in regard to stopping the run.

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