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Sean Tucker

Sean Tucker Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17

Miami Dolphins vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Sean Tucker Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+170/-200).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +178 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +170.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This year, the shaky Miami Dolphins pass defense has been torched for a staggering 90.2% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing running backs: the biggest rate in the NFL.
  • The Dolphins defense has allowed the 10th-most receiving touchdowns in football to running backs: 0.20 per game this year.
  • As it relates to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Miami's unit has been very good this year, projecting as the 6th-best in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread suggests a running game script for the Buccaneers, who are favored by 5.5 points.
  • The predictive model expects the Buccaneers as the 8th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 54.5% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects the Buccaneers to call the fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.1 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Dolphins, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in football (just 31.5 per game) this year.

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