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Sean Tucker

Sean Tucker Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Buffalo Bills vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Sean Tucker Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-210/+155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -250 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +155.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's spread implies a passing game script for the Buccaneers, who are -6.5-point underdogs.
  • At the present time, the 10th-most pass-heavy team in football (62.2% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
  • The Buccaneers O-line ranks as the 9th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
  • The Bills linebackers project as the 2nd-worst group of LBs in the league this year in covering receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are forecasted by the model to call only 61.9 offensive plays in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.
  • The forecast calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 28.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Buffalo Bills defense this year: 3rd-fewest in the league.
  • This year, the fierce Bills defense has given up a mere 72.6% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing RBs: the 2nd-lowest rate in football.

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