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Scotty Miller Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+3100/-3200).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -18500 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -3200.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Steelers are a 3-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 60.7% of their plays: the highest frequency among all teams this week.Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to see 133.5 offensive plays run: the most on the slate this week.When talking about pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the Steelers ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year.With an exceptional 79.4% Adjusted Catch Rate (85th percentile) this year, Scott Miller rates among the most sure-handed receivers in the league among wide receivers.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Steelers have run the fewest plays in football this year, averaging a measly 53.9 plays per game.Scott Miller has been not been very involved his team's passing attack near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of just 3.2% this year, which ranks in the 21st percentile among wideouts.When it comes to air yards, Scott Miller grades out in the paltry 8th percentile among wideouts this year, with just 5.0 per game.Scott Miller's 6.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the worst in the league: 9th percentile for WRs.The receiving touchdown line reads "0" on Scott Miller's box scores this year.
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