Scotty Miller Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 18

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Scotty Miller

NFL · Player Props

Scotty Miller

WR · Pittsburgh Steelers

Touchdowns

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 18, 2025

Updated Jan 5, 2026 1:12 AM UTC

Analysis

Scotty Miller Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+920/-1450).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1250 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1450.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This week's line indicates a running game script for the Steelers, who are favored by 3 points.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Steelers to pass on 61.5% of their chances: the 4th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being projected in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and lower run volume.
Opposing QBs have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.
When it comes to pass protection (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Steelers ranks as the 4th-best in the league this year.

Favors Under

The 5th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Steelers this year (a measly 52.9 per game on average).
Scott Miller has been has not been looked to very often his team's offense near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of just 3.5% this year, which ranks him in the 23rd percentile among wideouts.
In regards to air yards, Scott Miller ranks in the measly 9th percentile among WRs this year, with just 5.0 per game.
Scott Miller's 6.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive usage) ranks him among the worst in the league: 9th percentile for wide receivers.
The receiving TD field reads "0" on Scott Miller's stats page this year.

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