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Scotty Miller

Scotty Miller Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 18

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Scotty Miller Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+920/-1450).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1250 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1450.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's line indicates a running game script for the Steelers, who are favored by 3 points.
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Steelers to pass on 61.5% of their chances: the 4th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being projected in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and lower run volume.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.
  • When it comes to pass protection (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Steelers ranks as the 4th-best in the league this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 5th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Steelers this year (a measly 52.9 per game on average).
  • Scott Miller has been has not been looked to very often his team's offense near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of just 3.5% this year, which ranks him in the 23rd percentile among wideouts.
  • In regards to air yards, Scott Miller ranks in the measly 9th percentile among WRs this year, with just 5.0 per game.
  • Scott Miller's 6.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive usage) ranks him among the worst in the league: 9th percentile for wide receivers.
  • The receiving TD field reads "0" on Scott Miller's stats page this year.

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