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Scotty Miller

Scotty Miller Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

Chicago Bears vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Scotty Miller Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1200/-4400).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -4400 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -4400.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Steelers may pass less this week (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup quarterback Mason Rudolph.
  • The predictive model expects the Steelers to call the 8th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.1 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • This year, the poor Bears defense has been gouged for a massive 74.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 5th-largest rate in the NFL.
  • This year, the weak Bears defense has given up a massive 1.40 receiving touchdowns per game to opposing WRs: the 2nd-biggest rate in the NFL.
  • When it comes to the linebackers' role in run defense, Chicago's group of LBs has been excellent this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Steelers have run the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 50.9 plays per game.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Bears, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 31.6 per game) this year.
  • Scott Miller has notched significantly fewer air yards this year (1.0 per game) than he did last year (8.0 per game).
  • Scott Miller has been in just the 1st percentile among wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive volume) with a weak 1.9 figure this year.
  • The receiving TD column reads "0" on Scott Miller's stats page since the start of last season.

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