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Saquon Barkley Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants

Saquon Barkley Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-174/+116).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -174.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may go down.

Opposing QBs have averaged 40.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Giants defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.

With an extraordinary 15.0% Red Zone Target Share (90th percentile) this year, Saquon Barkley has been among the pass-catching RBs with the highest volume near the goal line in the league.

When it comes to air yards, Saquon Barkley ranks in the lofty 77th percentile among RBs this year, totaling a whopping 1.0 per game. (given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage, that is far more impressive than it sounds since most RBs have negative air yards).

Saquon Barkley ranks in the 88th percentile for running back WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive involvement) with a staggering 19.4 mark this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 7-point advantage, the Eagles are a massive favorite in this game, suggesting much more of a reliance on running than their typical game plan.

The leading projections forecast the Eagles as the 2nd-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 51.9% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Right now, the most run-focused offense in football near the end zone (53.0% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Philadelphia Eagles.

The predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles offense to be the 2nd-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 29.63 seconds per snap.

Saquon Barkley has run for 0.43 touchdowns per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the highest figures in football among RBs (86th percentile).

More Saquon Barkley Player Props

Saquon Barkley TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 8

Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants

Saquon Barkley Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8