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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 7

Minnesota Vikings vs Philadelphia Eagles

Saquon Barkley Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-136/-116).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -136.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

With an exceptional 15.0% Red Zone Target Rate (88th percentile) this year, Saquon Barkley places among the RB receiving threats with the highest volume near the end zone in the NFL.

When talking about air yards, Saquon Barkley ranks in the towering 85th percentile among running backs this year, totaling a massive 2.0 per game. (as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage, that is much more notable than it sounds since most RBs have negative air yards).

Saquon Barkley ranks in the 91st percentile among RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive volume) with a massive 21.5 figure this year.

The Eagles offensive line profiles as the 9th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong influence on all air attack stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the present time, the most run-oriented team in football in the red zone (52.6% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Eagles.

At the moment, the 5th-slowest paced offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Eagles.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Vikings defense this year: 3rd-fewest in the league.

Saquon Barkley has rushed for 0.50 TDs per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the biggest figures in football when it comes to running backs (89th percentile).

The Minnesota Vikings pass defense has allowed the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (75.4%) vs. RBs this year (75.4%).

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