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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles

Saquon Barkley Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-140/+138).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +113 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +138.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing offenses have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game versus the Giants defense this year: 4th-most in football.

With an exceptional 15.4% Red Zone Target% (88th percentile) this year, Saquon Barkley rates among the pass-catching running backs with the highest volume near the goal line in the league.

Saquon Barkley has compiled a monstrous 1.0 air yards per game this year: 78th percentile among RBs. (This may not sound too impressive, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage).

Saquon Barkley's 23.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive usage) puts him in the company of the best in the league: 93rd percentile for running backs.

Saquon Barkley's sure-handedness have improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate increasing from 85.2% to 89.5%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 7.5-point advantage, the Eagles are a huge favorite in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on rushing than their standard approach.

The predictive model expects the Eagles as the least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 50.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect the Eagles to be the most run-heavy team in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 53.2% red zone run rate.

Right now, the 7th-slowest paced offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to the model is the Eagles.

With an impressive rate of 0.50 touchdowns on the ground per game (91st percentile), Saquon Barkley rates as one of the best rushing TD-scorers in the NFL this year.

More Saquon Barkley Player Props

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