My Account Log Out
 
 
Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 15

Philadelphia Eagles vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Saquon Barkley Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-116/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -116.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Saquon Barkley has been a key part of his team's passing offense near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 18.4% this year, which places him in the 95th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • When it comes to air yards, Saquon Barkley ranks in the towering 92nd percentile among RBs this year, accruing a remarkable 3.0 per game. (as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage, that is much more remarkable than it sounds since most RBs wind up with negative air yards).
  • Saquon Barkley rates in the 93rd percentile when it comes to RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive volume) with a remarkable 19.4 mark this year.
  • With a stellar rate of 0.15 per game through the air (88th percentile), Saquon Barkley has been as one of the leading receiving TD-scorers in football when it comes to running backs this year.
  • When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Las Vegas's safety corps has been easily exploitable this year, profiling as the 4th-worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 12.5-point advantage, the Eagles are a heavy favorite in this week's game, suggesting much more of a focus on running than their standard approach.
  • The leading projections forecast the Philadelphia Eagles as the least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 48.1% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to be the most run-oriented team in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 52.0% red zone run rate.
  • Based on the game dynamics and play styles of each team, our trusted projections expect this game (with an average of 26.68 seconds per play) will have the 11th-worst tempo out of all the games this week.
  • The 7th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Eagles this year (a lowly 54.0 per game on average).

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™