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Saquon Barkley Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11

Philadelphia Eagles vs Detroit Lions

Saquon Barkley Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-101/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +119 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -101.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Saquon Barkley has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 20.0% this year, which ranks in the 98th percentile among RBs.

Saquon Barkley rates in the 92nd percentile for RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive volume) with a massive 19.7 mark this year.

Saquon Barkley's receiving reliability have improved this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate jumping from 85.2% to 90.6%.

Saquon Barkley grades out in the 93rd percentile among running backs when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging a terrific 0.22 per game.

The Lions linebackers project as the 2nd-best unit in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Eagles as the 3rd-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 51.8% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast the Philadelphia Eagles to be the most run-centric team in the league near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 52.5% red zone run rate.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projection model to have only 127.1 offensive plays called: the 4th-lowest number among all games this week.

The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 5th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 52.9 plays per game.

Windy weather conditions (like the 16-mph being forecasted in this game) generally correlate with worse passing efficiency, reduced pass volume, and increased rush volume.

More Saquon Barkley Player Props

Saquon Barkley TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 11

Philadelphia Eagles vs Detroit Lions

Saquon Barkley Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11