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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 6

New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles

Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 85.5 (-105/-101).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 79.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 85.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 7.5-point advantage, the Eagles are a huge favorite in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on rushing than their standard approach.

The model projects the Eagles as the most run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 49.5% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect Saquon Barkley to total 19.6 rush attempts in this game, on balance, putting him in the 99th percentile among RBs.

This year, the daunting New York Giants run defense has surrendered a mere 5.49 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing offenses: the 29th-best rate in the NFL.

When it comes to the safeties' role in stopping the run, New York's collection of safeties has been terrible this year, grading out as the 2nd-worst in the league. in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Right now, the 7th-slowest paced offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to the model is the Eagles.

Saquon Barkley has been a more integral piece of his team's offense this year, staying on the field for 82.7% of snaps compared to just 69.8% last year.

Saquon Barkley has rushed for many fewer adjusted yards per game (51.0) this year than he did last year (118.0).

Saquon Barkley's running effectiveness has diminished this year, compiling a measly 3.07 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 5.48 rate last year.

Saquon Barkley has struggled more with grinding out extra running yardage this season, compiling 2.24 yards-after-contact compared to a 3.32 figure last season.

More Saquon Barkley Player Props

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