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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Kansas City Chiefs vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 89.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 88.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 89.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Philadelphia Eagles to run on 49.8% of their plays: the 2nd-highest clip on the slate this week.
  • The 3rd-most plays in the league have been called by the Philadelphia Eagles since the start of last season (a monstrous 59.9 per game on average).
  • Our trusted projections expect Saquon Barkley to garner 18.0 rush attempts in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 95th percentile among running backs.
  • With a remarkable tally of 115.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (99th percentile), Saquon Barkley has been among the top running backs in the league since the start of last season.
  • Saquon Barkley's rushing effectiveness (5.37 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL since the start of last season (95th percentile when it comes to RBs).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Eagles offensive strategy to tilt 3.6% more towards the passing attack than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Kevin Patullo now calling the plays.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to have only 125.4 plays on offense called: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
  • After making up 64.0% of his team's rushing play calls last season, Saquon Barkley has had a smaller role in the rushing attack this season, now comprising only 51.4%.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs defense has produced the 5th-best efficiency against opposing running games since the start of last season, conceding just 4.11 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

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