Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Saquon Barkley

NFL · Player Props

Saquon Barkley

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Rushing Yards

Buffalo Bills vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 17, 2025

Updated Dec 28, 2025 8:57 PM EST

Analysis

Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 84.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 83.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 84.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Eagles to run on 47.5% of their downs: the 5th-highest clip on the slate this week.
In this contest, Saquon Barkley is forecasted by the predictive model to rank in the 97th percentile when it comes to RBs with 19.0 rush attempts.
Saquon Barkley has received 65.6% of his offense's rushing play calls this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile among RBs.
Opposing squads have rushed for the 3rd-most adjusted yards in the league (144 per game) vs. the Bills defense this year.
The Buffalo Bills safeties rank as the 30th-worst unit in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a 3-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
The predictive model expects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 7th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 54.9 plays per game.
Saquon Barkley has rushed for substantially fewer adjusted yards per game (63.0) this year than he did last year (118.0).
Saquon Barkley's ground effectiveness has diminished this year, notching a mere 3.86 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 5.48 mark last year.

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