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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 86.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 76.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 86.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A running game script is suggested by the Eagles being a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 3rd-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 48.8% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects Saquon Barkley to accrue 19.7 rush attempts in this game, on average, placing him in the 96th percentile among RBs.
  • Out of all RBs, Saquon Barkley ranks in the 94th percentile for rush attempts this year, comprising 65.2% of the workload in his team's running game.
  • Opposing teams have rushed for the 5th-most adjusted yards in the league (136 per game) against the Commanders defense this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles offense to be the 4th-most sluggish paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 29.32 seconds per play.
  • Saquon Barkley's 59.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year signifies a significant diminishment in his running prowess over last year's 118.0 rate.
  • Saquon Barkley's rushing efficiency has declined this year, accumulating a mere 3.67 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 5.48 mark last year.
  • As it relates to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Washington's group of DEs has been terrific this year, profiling as the 7th-best in the NFL.

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