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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Philadelphia Eagles vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 82.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 76.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 82.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 12.5-point advantage, the Eagles are a heavy favorite in this week's game, suggesting much more of a focus on running than their standard approach.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to run on 51.9% of their opportunities: the highest clip among all teams this week.
  • The forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • The model projects Saquon Barkley to accrue 21.5 rush attempts in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 99th percentile among running backs.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders defensive tackles project as the 3rd-worst group of DTs in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and play styles of each team, our trusted projections expect this game (with an average of 26.68 seconds per play) will have the 11th-worst tempo out of all the games this week.
  • The 7th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Eagles this year (a lowly 54.0 per game on average).
  • Saquon Barkley has been a more important option in his team's offense this season, staying on the field for 80.3% of snaps vs just 69.8% last season.
  • Saquon Barkley has rushed for substantially fewer adjusted yards per game (61.0) this season than he did last season (118.0).
  • Saquon Barkley's ground efficiency has tailed off this year, totaling a measly 3.63 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 5.48 figure last year.

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