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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Los Angeles Chargers vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 70.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 70.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 70.5 @ -145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to run on 47.2% of their plays: the 5th-highest rate among all teams this week.
  • The projections expect Saquon Barkley to earn 17.5 carries in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 87th percentile when it comes to RBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the model to see just 124.9 offensive plays called: the lowest number among all games this week.
  • The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a lowly 53.5 per game on average).
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being called for in this game) generally mean increased passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air attack volume, and lower ground volume.
  • Saquon Barkley has been a more integral piece of his team's offense this year, staying on the field for 80.2% of snaps vs just 69.8% last year.
  • Saquon Barkley's 56.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season represents a substantial regression in his running prowess over last season's 118.0 figure.

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