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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Philadelphia Eagles vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 79.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 77.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 79.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme running game script is suggested by the Eagles being a massive 7-point favorite this week.
  • The leading projections forecast the Eagles as the 3rd-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 49.6% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are expected by the projections to run 66.3 total plays in this contest: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The weather forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • The model projects Saquon Barkley to garner 19.8 carries in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 97th percentile among RBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 8th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Eagles this year (a measly 54.3 per game on average).
  • Saquon Barkley's 57.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year illustrates a remarkable regression in his running skills over last year's 118.0 rate.
  • Saquon Barkley's rushing effectiveness has declined this season, notching just 3.40 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 5.48 rate last season.
  • Saquon Barkley has struggled more with generating extra rushing yardage this year, compiling 2.30 yards-after-contact vs a 3.32 figure last year.

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