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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Philadelphia Eagles vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 71.5 (-114/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 69.5 @ -154 before it was bet up to 71.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to run on 48.2% of their opportunities: the 3rd-greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 16-mph being forecasted in this game) generally correlate with worse passing efficiency, reduced pass volume, and increased rush volume.
  • In this week's game, Saquon Barkley is projected by our trusted projection set to finish in the 91st percentile among RBs with 18.1 carries.
  • Among all RBs, Saquon Barkley grades out in the 90th percentile for rush attempts this year, accounting for 62.6% of the workload in his team's rushing attack.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projection model to have only 127.1 offensive plays called: the 4th-lowest number among all games this week.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 5th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 52.9 plays per game.
  • Saquon Barkley has run for many fewer adjusted yards per game (60.0) this year than he did last year (118.0).
  • Saquon Barkley's ground efficiency has declined this year, accumulating a measly 3.60 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 5.48 figure last year.
  • Saquon Barkley's 2.26 yards-after-contact this season shows a noteable decline in his running talent over last season's 3.32 figure.

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