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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Green Bay Packers vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 78.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 77.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 78.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 7th-most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 45.8% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast Saquon Barkley to accumulate 18.8 rush attempts in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 97th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Out of all RBs, Saquon Barkley ranks in the 90th percentile for carries this year, accounting for 62.3% of the workload in his offense's rushing attack.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see just 124.5 plays on offense called: the 2nd-lowest number out of all the games this week.
  • The 4th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a lowly 52.2 per game on average).
  • Saquon Barkley's 61.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season indicates a material regression in his running proficiency over last season's 118.0 figure.
  • Saquon Barkley's 3.8 adjusted yards per carry this year indicates a meaningful drop-off in his rushing skills over last year's 5.5 mark.
  • Saquon Barkley is positioned as one of the bottom running backs in football at grinding out extra rushing yardage, averaging a mere 2.40 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 12th percentile.

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