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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Saquon Barkley Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-114/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may go down.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 40.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Giants defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.
  • In this game, Saquon Barkley is predicted by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 94th percentile among RBs with 4.5 targets.
  • Saquon Barkley ranks as one of the leading RBs in the pass game this year, averaging a remarkable 2.9 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 91st percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 7-point advantage, the Eagles are a massive favorite in this game, suggesting much more of a reliance on running than their typical game plan.
  • The leading projections forecast the Eagles as the 2nd-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 51.9% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles offense to be the 2nd-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 29.63 seconds per snap.
  • Saquon Barkley has been a much bigger part of his team's offense this season, playing on 81.9% of snaps compared to just 69.8% last season.
  • The New York Giants linebackers grade out as the 8th-best group of LBs in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

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