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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Minnesota Vikings vs Philadelphia Eagles

Saquon Barkley Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+134/-171).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -124 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +134.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are projected by the projections to run 65.6 plays on offense in this contest: the 9th-most among all teams this week.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

The predictive model expects Saquon Barkley to garner 4.4 targets in this game, on balance, putting him in the 89th percentile when it comes to running backs.

The Eagles offensive line profiles as the 9th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong influence on all air attack stats across the board.

Saquon Barkley's receiving performance has gotten a boost this season, averaging 3.2 adjusted catches vs a measly 2.1 last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Eagles as the 10th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 55.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 6th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 54.0 plays per game.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Vikings defense this year: 3rd-fewest in the league.

Saquon Barkley has been a much bigger part of his team's offense this year, staying on the field for 82.4% of snaps vs just 69.8% last year.

The Minnesota Vikings pass defense has allowed the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (75.4%) vs. RBs this year (75.4%).

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