My Account Log Out

reorder

Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Philadelphia Eagles vs Los Angeles Rams

Saquon Barkley Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+134/-172).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +112 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -172.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Philadelphia Eagles feature a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Kevin Patullo, and the model projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.4% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).

The projections expect the Eagles to run the 8th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.2 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The Eagles have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 59.5 plays per game.

In this contest, Saquon Barkley is expected by the predictive model to rank in the 89th percentile among running backs with 3.6 targets.

Saquon Barkley slots into the 95th percentile among RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive usage) with a colossal 19.2 mark since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is indicated by the Eagles being a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game.

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 49.8% of their chances: the lowest clip among all teams this week.

When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's unit has been fantastic since the start of last season, profiling as the 5th-best in the league.

More Saquon Barkley Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™