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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Kansas City Chiefs vs Philadelphia Eagles

Saquon Barkley Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-165/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -165.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Eagles offensive strategy to tilt 3.6% more towards the passing attack than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Kevin Patullo now calling the plays.

The 3rd-most plays in the league have been called by the Philadelphia Eagles since the start of last season (a monstrous 59.9 per game on average).

The projections expect Saquon Barkley to total 3.8 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 87th percentile among RBs.

Saquon Barkley's 19.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the best in the NFL: 96th percentile for running backs.

When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Kansas City's collection of safeties has been awful since the start of last season, projecting as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 50.2% of their plays: the 2nd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to have only 125.4 plays on offense called: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.

When talking about pocket protection (and the impact it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the Philadelphia Eagles ranks as the 8th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.

Saquon Barkley's 80.0% Adjusted Completion Rate this year illustrates a substantial reduction in his pass-catching skills over last year's 85.3% figure.

The Chiefs pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (78.5%) vs. RBs since the start of last season (78.5%).

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