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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Saquon Barkley Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+140/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -155 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -160.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With an elite 58.6% Route Participation% (95th percentile) this year, Saquon Barkley rates as one of the pass-catching running backs with the biggest workloads in the NFL.
  • The predictive model expects Saquon Barkley to notch 3.6 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 84th percentile among RBs.
  • The Eagles O-line ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass game metrics across the board.
  • Saquon Barkley ranks as one of the top running backs in the pass game this year, averaging an exceptional 2.5 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 86th percentile.
  • The Commanders safeties project as the 3rd-worst group of safeties in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is suggested by the Eagles being a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • The projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 51.2% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles offense to be the 4th-most sluggish paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 29.32 seconds per play.
  • Saquon Barkley's 80.0% Adjusted Catch% this year represents a noteworthy decrease in his receiving ability over last year's 85.3% rate.

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