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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Los Angeles Chargers vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Saquon Barkley Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+100/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -103 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -108.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being called for in this game) generally mean increased passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air attack volume, and lower ground volume.
  • In this game, Saquon Barkley is projected by our trusted projection set to land in the 89th percentile when it comes to running backs with 3.9 targets.
  • Saquon Barkley ranks as one of the leading RBs in the pass game this year, averaging a fantastic 2.9 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 89th percentile.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers linebackers profile as the worst collection of LBs in the league this year in covering receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Eagles to pass on 52.8% of their opportunities: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the model to see just 124.9 offensive plays called: the lowest number among all games this week.
  • The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a lowly 53.5 per game on average).
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game versus the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: fewest in football.
  • Saquon Barkley has been a more integral piece of his team's offense this year, staying on the field for 80.2% of snaps vs just 69.8% last year.

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