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Saquon Barkley Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Philadelphia Eagles vs Chicago Bears

Saquon Barkley Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-149/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -128 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -149.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are expected by the projections to run 66.3 total plays in this contest: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.

In this game, Saquon Barkley is predicted by the model to slot into the 86th percentile among running backs with 3.9 targets.

Saquon Barkley's 22.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive usage) puts him in the company of the league leaders: 94th percentile for RBs.

Saquon Barkley's 3.2 adjusted catches per game this year conveys a significant boost in his pass-catching ability over last year's 2.1 mark.

This year, the weak Bears pass defense has conceded a staggering 86.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 7th-worst rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme running game script is suggested by the Eagles being a massive 7-point favorite this week.

The model projects the Eagles as the 2nd-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 50.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The 8th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Eagles this year (a measly 54.3 per game on average).

The weather forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

Opposing teams have averaged 31.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Bears defense this year: 10th-fewest in the league.

More Saquon Barkley Player Props

Saquon Barkley ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 13

Philadelphia Eagles vs Chicago Bears

Saquon Barkley Receptions
Player Prop Week 13