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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Saquon Barkley Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.
  • The Cowboys defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, leading opposing offenses to attempt the 7th-most passes in the NFL (37.4 per game) this year.
  • This week, Saquon Barkley is predicted by the projections to rank in the 87th percentile when it comes to RBs with 3.8 targets.
  • Saquon Barkley's 19.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive usage) ranks him among the best in the NFL: 92nd percentile for running backs.
  • Saquon Barkley ranks as one of the leading pass-game running backs this year, averaging a stellar 2.8 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 91st percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Eagles are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.
  • The leading projections forecast the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 4th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 53.7% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by our trusted projection set to see only 126.1 total plays run: the 2nd-lowest number out of all the games this week.
  • The 9th-lowest number of plays in the league have been run by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a lowly 54.3 per game on average).

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