Saquon Barkley Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Philadelphia Eagles vs Detroit Lions

Saquon Barkley Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-150/+110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In this week's contest, Saquon Barkley is forecasted by the predictive model to place in the 85th percentile when it comes to RBs with 3.9 targets.

With an impressive 13.5% Target Share (94th percentile) this year, Saquon Barkley rates among the pass-catching RBs with the highest volume in the NFL.

Saquon Barkley is positioned as one of the top RBs in the pass game this year, averaging a stellar 3.0 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 93rd percentile.

Saquon Barkley's receiving reliability have improved this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate jumping from 85.2% to 90.6%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Eagles as the 4th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 52.2% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projection model to have only 126.8 offensive plays called: the 4th-lowest number among all games this week.

The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 5th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 52.9 plays per game.

Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being forecasted in this game) generally correlate with worse passing efficiency, reduced pass volume, and increased rush volume.

The Lions linebackers profile as the 3rd-best group of LBs in the league this year in defending receivers.

More Saquon Barkley Player Props

Saquon Barkley ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 11

Philadelphia Eagles vs Detroit Lions

Saquon Barkley Receptions
Player Prop Week 11