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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Philadelphia Eagles vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Saquon Barkley Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 7th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Eagles this year (a staggering 59.0 per game on average).
  • The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 37.1 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 6th-most in the league.
  • The predictive model expects Saquon Barkley to garner 3.4 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 80th percentile among RBs.
  • Saquon Barkley's 90.0% Adjusted Completion% this season signifies a noteworthy gain in his receiving prowess over last season's 72.6% rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 7.5-point advantage, the Eagles are a heavy favorite this week, indicating much more of an emphasis on rushing than their standard game plan.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles as the 2nd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 50.9% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 125.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Saquon Barkley's 18.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive volume) has been significantly lower this season than it was last season at 27.4.

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