Saquon Barkley Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 10

My Account Log Out

reorder

Saquon Barkley

NFL · Player Props

Saquon Barkley

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Receptions

Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 10, 2024

Updated Nov 11, 2024 4:01 AM EST

Analysis

Saquon Barkley Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Eagles are forecasted by the projection model to run 66.3 total plays in this contest: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week.
The 8th-most plays in football have been called by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a monstrous 59.8 per game on average).
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The projections expect Saquon Barkley to total 3.2 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 75th percentile when it comes to RBs.
Saquon Barkley has been one of the best pass-game running backs this year, averaging an excellent 2.5 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 77th percentile.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a massive 7.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 50.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 28.6 pass attempts per game versus the Cowboys defense this year: fewest in the NFL.
Saquon Barkley's 21.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly lower this season than it was last season at 27.4.

More Saquon Barkley Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow