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Saquon Barkley
NFL · Player Props
Saquon Barkley
RB · New York Giants
Receptions
Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants · Week 10, 2023 Updated Nov 12, 2023 8:41 PM UTC
NFL Props Saquon Barkley Receptions

Saquon Barkley Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+102/-132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -124 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -132.

Favors Over
  • An extreme throwing game script is indicated by the Giants being a big -17.5-point underdog in this week's game.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New York Giants to pass on 60.4% of their chances: the 5th-highest rate on the slate this week.
  • The predictive model expects the Giants to be the 8th-quickest paced defense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 27.58 seconds per play.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • The model projects Saquon Barkley to accumulate 6.2 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 98th percentile among running backs.
Favors Under
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 28.1 pass attempts per game against the Cowboys defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the league.
  • As it relates to pass-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Giants ranks as the worst in the NFL this year.
  • The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has yielded the 10th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (79.2%) to RBs this year (79.2%).
  • The Dallas Cowboys linebackers rank as the 7th-best LB corps in the league this year in pass coverage.
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