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Saquon Barkley Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-125/-105).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -125.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Opposing offenses have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game versus the Giants defense this year: 4th-most in football.The projections expect Saquon Barkley to notch 4.0 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 86th percentile among running backs.Saquon Barkley has compiled a monstrous 1.0 air yards per game this year: 78th percentile among RBs. (This may not sound too impressive, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage).With an excellent 19.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (88th percentile) this year, Saquon Barkley places as one of the leading pass-game RBs in the NFL.Saquon Barkley's sure-handedness have improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate increasing from 85.2% to 89.5%.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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With a 7.5-point advantage, the Eagles are a huge favorite in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on rushing than their standard approach.The predictive model expects the Eagles as the least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 50.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.Right now, the 7th-slowest paced offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to the model is the Eagles.Saquon Barkley has been a more integral piece of his team's offense this year, staying on the field for 82.7% of snaps compared to just 69.8% last year.Saquon Barkley's 6.1 adjusted yards per target this season conveys an impressive decline in his pass-catching skills over last season's 7.3 mark.
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