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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles

Saquon Barkley Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-113/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing offenses have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game versus the Giants defense this year: 4th-most in football.

The projections expect Saquon Barkley to notch 4.0 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 85th percentile among running backs.

Saquon Barkley has compiled a monstrous 1.0 air yards per game this year: 78th percentile among RBs. (This may not sound too impressive, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage).

Saquon Barkley has put up a lot more adjusted receiving yards per game (23.0) this season than he did last season (18.0).

Saquon Barkley's sure-handedness have improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate increasing from 85.2% to 89.5%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 7.5-point advantage, the Eagles are a huge favorite in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on rushing than their standard approach.

The predictive model expects the Eagles as the least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 50.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Right now, the 7th-slowest paced offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to the model is the Eagles.

Saquon Barkley has been a more integral piece of his team's offense this year, staying on the field for 82.7% of snaps compared to just 69.8% last year.

Saquon Barkley's 6.1 adjusted yards per target this season conveys an impressive decline in his pass-catching skills over last season's 7.3 mark.

More Saquon Barkley Player Props

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