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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Philadelphia Eagles vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Saquon Barkley Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Eagles are forecasted by the projections to call 65.6 plays on offense in this contest: the 6th-most on the slate this week.
  • The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The Denver Broncos defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, leading opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in football (38.2 per game) this year.
  • In this contest, Saquon Barkley is expected by our trusted projection set to place in the 91st percentile when it comes to RBs with 4.2 targets.
  • With an outstanding 19.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (82nd percentile) this year, Saquon Barkley ranks among the best pass-game running backs in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Eagles are a 4-point favorite in this game, indicating a running game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Eagles to pass on 50.8% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • Saquon Barkley's 85.4% snap rate this season signifies a material boost in his offensive usage over last season's 69.8% figure.
  • After totaling 7.0 air yards per game last season, Saquon Barkley has undergone a big decline this season, now sitting at -6.0 per game.
  • Saquon Barkley's pass-game efficiency has declined this year, accumulating a mere 4.73 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 7.32 rate last year.

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