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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Philadelphia Eagles vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Saquon Barkley Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-112/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast Saquon Barkley to garner 3.3 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 83rd percentile among RBs.
  • When it comes to air yards, Saquon Barkley ranks in the towering 92nd percentile among RBs this year, accruing a remarkable 3.0 per game. (as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage, that is much more remarkable than it sounds since most RBs wind up with negative air yards).
  • Saquon Barkley ranks as one of the top pass-catching RBs this year, averaging a remarkable 19.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 84th percentile.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders defense has given up the 10th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (36.0) versus RBs this year.
  • When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Las Vegas's safety corps has been easily exploitable this year, profiling as the 4th-worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 12.5-point advantage, the Eagles are a heavy favorite in this week's game, suggesting much more of a focus on running than their standard approach.
  • The leading projections forecast the Philadelphia Eagles as the least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 48.1% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on the game dynamics and play styles of each team, our trusted projections expect this game (with an average of 26.68 seconds per play) will have the 11th-worst tempo out of all the games this week.
  • The 7th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Eagles this year (a lowly 54.0 per game on average).
  • The forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

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