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Saquon Barkley Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Philadelphia Eagles vs Detroit Lions

Saquon Barkley Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -111.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In this week's contest, Saquon Barkley is forecasted by the predictive model to place in the 85th percentile when it comes to RBs with 3.9 targets.

With an impressive 13.5% Target Share (94th percentile) this year, Saquon Barkley rates among the pass-catching RBs with the highest volume in the NFL.

With a fantastic 20.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (91st percentile) this year, Saquon Barkley places as one of the leading pass-game RBs in the league.

Saquon Barkley's receiving reliability have improved this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate jumping from 85.2% to 90.6%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Eagles as the 3rd-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 51.8% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projection model to have only 127.1 offensive plays called: the 4th-lowest number among all games this week.

The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 5th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 52.9 plays per game.

Windy weather conditions (like the 16-mph being forecasted in this game) generally correlate with worse passing efficiency, reduced pass volume, and increased rush volume.

Saquon Barkley has posted a measly -2.0 air yards per game this year: just 24th percentile among RBs.

More Saquon Barkley Player Props

Saquon Barkley Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 11

Philadelphia Eagles vs Detroit Lions

Saquon Barkley Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11