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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Green Bay Packers vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Saquon Barkley Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 39.5 pass attempts per game against the Packers defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.
  • This week, Saquon Barkley is forecasted by the projections to finish in the 88th percentile when it comes to running backs with 3.8 targets.
  • With an impressive 13.6% Target% (94th percentile) this year, Saquon Barkley places as one of the pass-catching RBs with the most usage in the league.
  • Saquon Barkley profiles as one of the leading pass-game RBs this year, averaging a terrific 19.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 91st percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 54.0% of their plays: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see just 124.1 plays on offense called: the lowest number out of all the games this week.
  • The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a lowly 52.2 per game on average).
  • Saquon Barkley's pass-game efficiency has tailed off this year, compiling just 5.67 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 7.31 rate last year.
  • Saquon Barkley's ability to pick up extra yardage has worsened this year, accumulating just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 6.91 mark last year.

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